Keynesian Beauty Contest
18
780Ṁ1150resolved Jun 16
100%53%
last second option
1.1%Other
0.2%
The first answer!
0.5%
(.Y.)
lol
13%
the answer with the highest probability.
0.7%
infinity/0.0...1
0.6%
the answer with the highest probability
0.6%
The answer with the highest probability.
0.6%
the highest probability
0.2%
1
30%
I'm going to put ~M$4000 here just before the market close :)
0.0%
Hmm actually I changed my mind, I might drop all of the money on this one instead!
0.0%
I'm putting M$2000 on this answer with probability 36% (determined using a random number generator).
0.0%
Joel Becker might drop M$20,000 on this answer. You never know!
In three days after resolution I will pick the answer with the highest probability.
This is a proper Keynesian beauty contest: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynesian_beauty_contest
Jun 14, 12:59pm: WITHIN three days. You will not have to wait three days after close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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