Will Congress disqualify Trump from holding office before 2025 inauguration?
Will Congress disqualify Trump from holding office before 2025 inauguration?
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240Ṁ1870resolved Jan 26
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The Supreme Court has ruled in TRUMP v. ANDERSON that
the Constitution makes Congress, rather than the States, responsible for enforcing Section 3 against federal officeholders and candidates
Will Congress disqualify Trump from holding office? Resolves to YES if Congress disqualifies Trump from holding office under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment, at any time before inauguration, whether before or after the election. If Congress later votes to remove the disqualification by a two-thirds vote of each House, this still resolves to YES.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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