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MANIFOLD
Will Egypt attack Israel in retaliation for the death of an Egyptian soldier at the Rafah border, by June 14th?
43
Ṁ1kṀ13k
resolved Jun 15
Resolved
NO

Will Egypt retaliate against Israel, by June 14th?

Resolves YES if Egypt:

  • Attacks any Israeli military assets or personnel, or Israeli civilian assets

  • before June 14th, local time in Israel, and

  • there is credible reporting attributing the attack(s) as specifically in response to the death of the Egyptian soldier, ie unrelated attacks will not count.

An attack need not be successful or cause any casualties to count, but must be a kinetic attack with the potential to cause physical injury or property damage. i.e. cyber attacks do not count.

I won't bet on this market.

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@DanMan314 Resolves NO.

Breaking news: Egypt signs a peace treaty with Israel!