Background
I am currently visiting Korea for 2 months - I have a very close group of friends who I usually have to stay in touch with online, but now will be able to hangout with irl!
During my stay I am going to try and get as many of them to use Manifold as possible. I might even put incentives like buying them dinner to convince them to join if needed LOL
One of them, @DannyKim has started using the site fairly actively after visiting me in the UK a few weeks back.
Resolution Criteria
The market resolves YES if 6 people (including me and Danny, so 3 more) are in this group and actively betting on questions. I won't set specific guidelines of what counts as "actively betting". But it should be at least a few a week and they should be discussing Markets in person.
For it to count, it needs to be ongoing for a sustained period of time and not just for a day or two before stopping.
For reference - there is around 8-10 people total in the extended friend group who I would count.
Additional Thoughts
Part of this is to experiment and basically do my own testing on how easy it is to get friends to join Manifold and where the points of friction lie. Is the hardest thing convincing them to look at the site and try using it as the idea is so foreign to many people? Does the site itself suck for new users? Is the incentive of Mana and social prestige sufficient for encouraging the use of Manifold over doing it more casually by just making verbal bets?
I would really love to hear everyone else's experience with introducing their friends to Manifold. Was it a success or failure and any further insights!?
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ183 | |
2 | Ṁ160 | |
3 | Ṁ82 | |
4 | Ṁ38 | |
5 | Ṁ35 |
A few of them did sign up and have a bit of a play around on the site, but I failed to get us all competing against each other and creating markets with each other.
Probably could have tried harder, but it felt force and unnatural. I'm hoping I will have more luck with the group I am planning to make for League of Legends worlds 2022 and inviting them to participate in that.
Update: It's been a bit of a disaster so far. I see plenty of opportunities I could use where we are discussing something and asking what do you expect/predict will happen.
But it just seems like too much effort to pull out our phones, make a market, and bet on it lol. Especially when most of them havent interacted with the the site before.