New Pope announced before May 18?
30
100Ṁ948May 18
69%
chance
25
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Pope Francis passed away on April 21, 2025, initiating the process to elect his successor. According to Vatican protocols, a conclave is expected to begin between 16 and 21 days after the pope's death, suggesting a start date between May 7 and May 12, 2025. This market resolves to 'Yes' if a new pope is elected before May 18, 2025, and 'No' otherwise. Resolution will be based on official Vatican announcements.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the papal name of the new pope?
Who will be the next Pope?
⛪️ Which day of the conclave will the next Pope be announced?
New pope under 70?
46% chance
What country will the new Pope visit first?
New Pope named Time's Person of the Year in 2025?
9% chance
What continent will the next pope be from?
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Francis be from?
New Pope in 2025?
99% chance
What names will the next Pope take?