Will @Sinclair perform with Bayesian Choir at winter solstice 2022
resolved Dec 21

Resolves NO if I decide not to (like conflicting plans) or if I cannot (like fail audition, solstice cancelled, or choir doesn't perform), YES otherwise.

I performed with them before in 2019. Its best if I decide before October 23.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

Evidence that this market should resolve YES: https://www.twitch.tv/secular_solstice

bought Ṁ1 of NO

hedge. could get sick right before or something

bought Ṁ100 of YES

I've moved stuff around in my calendar to be able to make all the rehearsals and I went to the first rehearsal yesterday. I've committed to performing.

predicted YES


do ittt

I didn't even know that Bayesian Choir was a thing. Seems like something I'd be interested in.

@athenaciara if you're in the Bay and are interested, check out this intro doc! https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Rwmwx6lOhzWgWPtrX3EWMXmJqNpQpHtqRYMbicDTGj8/edit we're starting Solstice rehearsals pretty soon (join the linked Google group for details)

predicted YES

@tcheasdfjkl I'm in NYC 😔 but it would be cool to do something similar here!

bought Ṁ0 of NO

I feel like I am more likely to this year than previous years, mostly because it seems like they need more people