
Will a sex tape of Yudkowsky and Aella, or convincing deepfake, be released in 2023
53
920Ṁ11kresolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
yet another market about AI taking people's jobs
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ227 | |
2 | Ṁ122 | |
3 | Ṁ97 | |
4 | Ṁ66 | |
5 | Ṁ60 |
People are also trading
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky speak on TV in 2025?
77% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella start dating during the next 3yrs?
5% chance
Will an AI-powered tool produce a convincing gay pornography video of Elon Musk having sex with Peter Thiel by 2025?
31% chance
Will Aella release a AI girlfriend in collaboration with @realGeorgeHotz by 2026
10% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella have a child by the end of 2029?
3% chance
In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?
64% chance
Will Cameo offer a deepfake/ai generated video product before 2030?
80% chance
Will Eliezer Yudowsky become romantically involved with an AI before 2030?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky reveal the text of the conversations from the AI box escape experiment by the end of 2030?
12% chance
By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?
3% chance
Sort by:
Honestly I felt a little iffy about posting this one. I wouldn't make this market on most people. But ultimately I thought that, based on what I knew about them and my impression of their personalities from having talked to them ever, that both Aella and Yudkowsky would mostly just be amused by this market.
@ms The Twitter post was referring to Aella and Eliezer releasing such a video. This market is about the much broader category of anyone releasing such a video, which is now more likely to happen now that this market exists.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky speak on TV in 2025?
77% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella start dating during the next 3yrs?
5% chance
Will an AI-powered tool produce a convincing gay pornography video of Elon Musk having sex with Peter Thiel by 2025?
31% chance
Will Aella release a AI girlfriend in collaboration with @realGeorgeHotz by 2026
10% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Aella have a child by the end of 2029?
3% chance
In 2033, will Richard Hanania believe that the predictions they made about deepfakes came true?
64% chance
Will Cameo offer a deepfake/ai generated video product before 2030?
80% chance
Will Eliezer Yudowsky become romantically involved with an AI before 2030?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky reveal the text of the conversations from the AI box escape experiment by the end of 2030?
12% chance
By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?
3% chance