Will this market have 13 or more unique predictors?
15
310Ṁ1124
resolved Apr 12
Resolved
YES

Will 13 or more people put in a prediction on this market?

Bots don't count towards the total. If I predict, I do count.

I may close this market early if the answer is YES but I won't extend the close date if the answer is NO.

This is the latest version of this market - each time the target increases by one so it should be a bit less of a certain thing. Here's how the previous markets went:

Six or more? Target hit in 7 minutes

Seven or more? Target hit in 1 hour 37 minutes

Eight or more? Target hit in 2 hours 12 minutes

Nine or more? Target hit in 12 hours and 8 minutes

Ten or more? Target hit in 29 minutes

11 or more? Target hit in 1 hour 32 minutes

12 or more? Target hit in 4 hours 14 minutes

Will 13 be the unlucky number for YES predictors?

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So this one took over 15 hours to hit 13!

Are we reaching the limit of how many people are interested in these markets or how high the number can be without bettors starting to get less confident about putting in big bets on YES? Let's find out with the next iteration of the market:

You can count all my banned accounts, all your questions have 500 votes by default

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