The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest monthly GDP reading at 7:00 UK time on Thursday 15th August.
This is the month-on-month figure - released around six weeks after the end of the month that is being measured (June in this case).
Will this reading show positive growth?
Resolution notes:
A reading of 0.0% resolves to NO
This market resolves based on the reading published on the day, future revisions are not relevant
Here are some markets on other UK economic stats:
/SimonGrayson/will-the-bank-of-england-change-the-dzep0jjomt
/SimonGrayson/how-high-will-the-uks-cpi-inflation-p0uttyljmm
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน2,207 | |
| 2 | แน65 | |
| 3 | แน2 |
The headlines are all about the 0.6% growth seen in the quarter, but this market is about the month rather than the quarter and growth for the month of June came in at 0.0% so this resolves to NO.
More details in the ONS report.
This seems like a bit of a statistical blip - will we return to recordable growth next month?
/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-monthly-gdp-figure-pub-bc999axmka