Will US Q2 GDP be positive?
14
100Ṁ236
Aug 31
45%
chance
11

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter of 2025 (Q2 2025) is reported as positive by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The official advance estimate, typically released in late July 2025, will be used for resolution. If the advance estimate indicates a positive GDP growth rate, the market resolves to "Yes"; if it indicates zero or negative growth, the market resolves to "No."

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BREAKING: Jim Cramer said there won’t be an recession https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1918390283970199937

@SvenHoek confirmed recession then.

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