Since there was so much excitement around LK-99 on Manifold and in a lot of other online spaces, I was surprised to see the lack of mainstream media coverage of the alleged discovery and the attempts at replication.

I created these three markets on whether there would be coverage from the Economist, the BBC and the Guardian within a week. After all trading at around 90%, the Economist published an article and the other two look like they're going to resolve to NO:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-economist-publish-an-artic

/SimonGrayson/will-the-bbc-news-site-publish-an-a

/SimonGrayson/will-the-guardian-publish-an-articl

Will the BBC publish an article on the BBC News website about LK-99 or the purported discovery of a room-temperature superconductor by the end of the month?

Resolution criterea:

• I will count any article which has been published on https://www.bbc.co.uk/news by 22:00 BST on Thursday 31st August

• The article must be accessible on a URL which begins with https://www.bbc.co.uk/news - something which is published on another BBC site or product will not count unless some version of it appears on the news site itself

• The primary subject of the article must be the potential discovery of a room-temperature superconductor, the specific research and discussion around LK-99 or the reaction to it. An article debunking or dismissing the research or an article about how the whole thing has been a hoax would count, but an article which is primarily about something else but which has a passing mention of LK-99 or superconductors in general would not.

• Hopefully there won't be any ambiguity (either they publish an article which is primarily about this subject or they don't), but just in case there is some level of subjectivity, I will not trade on this market.