Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election (Boris Johnson's seat) - will the Labour Party candidate win the seat?
Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election (Boris Johnson's seat) - will the Labour Party candidate win the seat?
11
210Ṁ3007
resolved Jul 21
Resolved
NO

Boris Johnson has resigned as an MP meaning that there will be a by-election in Uxbridge and South Ruislip on 20th July:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Uxbridge_and_South_Ruislip_by-election

Will the Labour Party candidate win the seat?

/SimonGrayson/uxbridge-and-south-ruislip-byelecti

/SimonGrayson/uxbridge-and-south-ruislip-byelecti-e0fd34520cae

/SimonGrayson/uxbridge-and-south-ruislip-byelecti-0848532ff70c

/SimonGrayson/uxbridge-and-south-ruislip-byelecti-8f5193426300

This is one of three by-elections taking place on the same day. How may of them will the Tories hold on to?

/SimonGrayson/20th-july-byelections-how-many-seat

  • If there is no Labour Party candidate standing in this by-election, this market resolves to NO.

  • If there is no by-election between now and the next General Election, this market will resolve to N/A

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ587
2Ṁ92
3Ṁ73

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy