Matt Gaetz has filed a "motion to vacate" against the House speaker Kevin McCarthy:
The vote is due to take place "within two legislative days".
Will at least ten Republicans vote against McCarthy? This does not include any Republicans abstaining, voting "present" or otherwise expressing their oppositionn to McCarthy without actually voting against him.
Related markets:
/SimonGrayson/mccarthy-vote-will-any-democrats-vo
Resolution notes:
Any yes/no vote where House members go on the record will qualify if the purpose is to vote on whether to declare the speaker position vacant or to dismiss the attempts to remove McCarthy
If the motion to vacate is somehow decided without a yes/no vote where House members go on the record with their votes (eg. McCarthy resigns, the motion is withdrawn, there is a procedure to strike the motion down without an explicit vote, etc) this market will resolve to N/A
If there are multiple votes, this market only applies to the first formally counted vote
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ4,367 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,417 | |
| 3 | Ṁ68 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ49 |
Both the Guardian and the New York Times are reporting that there were 8 Republicans voting against McCarthy:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/10/03/us/politics/mccarthy-house-speaker-vote-live.html
This resolves to NO.
What happens next? Markets on the next steps below: