If England wins Euro 2024, will the government declare a Bank Holiday?
If England wins Euro 2024, will the government declare a Bank Holiday?
71
1kṀ33k
resolved Jul 14
100%99.0%
No - England won't win the Euros
0.8%
No - England will win but we won't get a Bank Holiday
0.2%
Yes

England play Spain in the Euro 2024 final on Sunday evening.

We are hoping to win our first major trophy (in the men's game, at least) since 1966.

There have been calls for a Bank Holiday if England wins, including the front page of today's Sun.

Will the new government piggyback off the back of the win and give us a day off work? Or will we have to struggle through our hangovers without an extra day off? Or will the unthinkable happen - will England fail to win?

This will resolve to YES if there is an announcement of an extra Bank Holiday the by the time the market closes, even if the Bank Holiday itself is further in the future rather than next week. It must be an additional Bank Holiday - moving or reassigning an existing Bank Holiday will not be sufficient.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ610
2Ṁ435
3Ṁ281
4Ṁ248
5Ṁ127


Sort by:
9mo

God I hope not, arbitrary exchange holidays wreck havoc with trading code.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules