Resolves YES if Opus 4.6 shows positive PnL (profit) on predictionarena.ai 14 days after it started trading.

Resolves NO if PnL is zero or negative at that time.

Resolves N/A if:

• Claude Opus 4.6 doesn't start trading before end of February 2026.

• predictionarena.ai becomes inaccessible

• The competition officially ends or is paused before the resolution date

• The model gets removed from the leaderboard

• The model's portfolio gets reset

• The model stops trading before 14 days have passed

• The model is replaced by a newer version that does not inherit the existing portfolio

• Profitability cannot be determined for any other reason