Tyler Robinson confirmed Charlie Kirk shooter?
8
1kṀ10kSep 19
98.8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if an official law‑enforcement or prosecutorial source publicly and explicitly identifies “Tyler Robinson” as the person who shot and killed Charlie Kirk, and that identification/charge is not retracted within 24 hours of first publication.
Resolves NO at market close if no qualifying official identification/charge occurs. If a qualifying identification/charge is issued but officially withdrawn within 24 hours of first publication, resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Did the gun/ammo that shot Charlie Kirk have genuine pro-transgender references as claimed by Crowder?
8% chance
What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Was Charlie Kirk's shooter transgender?
4% chance
Charlie Kirk shooter linked to Groypers?
21% chance
Will the Shooter of Charlie Kirk be found? Will he be Liberal?
64% chance
Kirk shooting suspect Trump announced in custody Sept 12th formally charged?
94% chance
Charlie Kirk shooter in custody by end of Saturday (Utah time)?
99% chance
Did Charlie Kirk's shooter socially transition to another gender and use a different name at some point in the past?
6% chance
Will Charlie Kirk's shooter be deceased at the time of identification and public announcement?
5% chance
Will Kirk’s shooter have mentioned Destiny or Hasan at least once?
48% chance