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MANIFOLD
When will MNX mainnet launch?
65
Ṁ12kṀ140k
resolved Aug 5
100%71%
August 2026
0.2%
March 2026
0.2%
April 2026
0.2%
May 2026
0.3%
June 2026
0.5%
July 2026
19%
September 2026
9%Other

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resolves august

bought Ṁ50 NO

@prismatic it’s in beta

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Mochi I mean Mainnet is still Mainnet tho. There isn’t any resolution criteria on what’s considered a launch

@prismatic I mean in general beta is considered a testing phase and not a “launch”, a beta “launch” is a “launch” to the testing phase. Yea up to Simon here, and they could still have full launch this month

@Mochi @prismatic Real money is being traded on mainnet, and access is trivially easy to get. In crypto, a beta mainnet with real funds usually counts as mainnet launch. I plan to resolve August YES tomorrow, unless someone convinces me otherwise

@Simon74fe I agree with you, I asked on the MNX discord and all the people there also agreed it was considered a mainnet launch

bought Ṁ10 NO

Please don't release in July, I need that mana

bought Ṁ12 NO

Can we not resolve March, April, May?

@ChurlishGambit No, unfortunately, resolving some answers early in a linked market is not yet possible on manifold

@Simon74fe boy...and they think people are gonna trade real fortunes on the spin-off...

@ChurlishGambit if you want to bet against that lmk. they did raise a couple million $

@Bayesian Did they? For this project specifically, or was it siphoned from funding for this crumbling venture? Who gave it?

@ChurlishGambit sorry I’m not sure what ‘this’ is referring to, I’m talking about MNX

@Bayesian Was the money for MNX? Or siphoned from Manifold?

@ChurlishGambit MNX raised the money

@Bayesian Fascinating...there must be some way for the average Joe to start suckering these kinds of money-burners too

sold Ṁ18 YES

@ChurlishGambit why are you so mad lmfao

It's been a while, can we get some new insider trades in here?

bought Ṁ100 YES

Interesting spread

sold Ṁ3 YES

@wasabipesto so that was a fuckin lie