If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches? | Manifold

If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?

Basic

28

Ṁ7377

Dec 31

99%

Real Money Politics markets

99%

Only for US users

99%

Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)

99%

It launches before the end of 2024

16%

Real Money Crypto price markets

16%

Real Money Death Markets

1%

Real Money Sports markets

1%

For US and non-US users

All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading

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bought Ṁ50 Real Money Death Mar... NO

@Simon74fe withdrawals have been enabled

@Simon74fe is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced

@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix Different Simon!

@SimonGrayson lol my bad!

There will be a cryptocurrency

Does the cryptocurrency have to be endorsed by Manifold, or is it sufficient that mana is exchangeable for a cryptocurrency on a 1:1 basis?

Exchangeable for a non-affiliated cryptocurrency would not be enough

bought Ṁ50 There will be a cryp... NO

@Simon74fe Then it's an easy NO.

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Related questions

In what ways will Manifold be like Fliff, the social sports betting app inspiring the Pivot, by end of year?

Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?

What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

How will Manifold monetize its business, at the end of 2024?

Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?

If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve?

Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?

Once real-money cashouts are enabled, will Manifold allow its staff to trade?

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