Resolve YES if Musk is no longer head of the Department of Government Efficiency by Jan 1, 2026
Update 2025-05-01 (PST): - Market End Date: January 1, 2026 (AI summary of creator comment)
Clarification (2025-03-05): It is understood that Musk has only informally been DOGE head. The bet is about losing "whatever status he has had since the contract creation", which would include the informal one. To resolve yes, he must lack both formal status and informal recognition as DOGE head, as judged from credible media reports.
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He says he's leaving at the end of May, and I think he needs to if he wants to keep running his companies.
https://www.vox.com/politics/400096/elon-musk-doge-head-senior-adviser-judge-chutkan
Formally or informally? Because formally it seems he isn't and never has been.
@Weepinbell The bet is about losing "whatever status he has had since the contract creation", which would include the informal one. To resolve yes, he must lack both formal status and informal recognition as DOGE head, as judged from credible media reports.