Will the far-right PVV be part of the next Dutch coalition?
20
83
Ṁ1.1KṀ370
2025
77%
chance
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The far-right PVV just won the most seats in the Dutch elections, an estimated 35 out of 150. However, multiple large parties (Labour/Greens (26 seats), NSC (20 seats)) have stated not to form a coalition with the PVV. The VVD (Liberals, 23 seats) have stated they would be not exclude the PVV, but would not accept the PVV leader as PM.
It is traditional that the largest party gets the first attempt to form a coalition.
76 seats are needed to form a majority coalition, though minority coalitions are possible.
An alternative coalition of Greens-Labour, VVD, NSC, D66, would yield 79 seats.
This question will resolve when a coalition agreement has been signed.
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