Resolution criteria

The men's singles final will be played at Rod Laver Arena on Sunday, February 1, 2026. The market resolves to whichever two players contest this match. Resolution will be determined by official Australian Open records and major sports news outlets covering the final.

Background

Jannik Sinner is the defending men's singles champion, having won back-to-back titles. All signs appear to point toward another Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner showdown in the final. Sinner and Alcaraz could play each other for the fourth straight Grand Slam final. However, Alcaraz has struggled at Australia, never reaching the Australian Open final in his career. Djokovic and Sinner are in the same half and will be on a collision course to meet in the semifinals, while Alcaraz could meet last year's runner-up, Zverev, in his semifinal.

Considerations

In the 2025 final, Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev in straight sets, making Zverev a potential finalist again. The draw structure means Sinner and Djokovic must meet before the final if both advance, potentially preventing a Sinner-Alcaraz matchup despite their recent dominance.