
What will be part of Biden's plan for a Palestinian state?
49
3kṀ3991Jan 10
89%
Hamas explicitly not involved in the future state
86%
Functionally demilitarized Palestinian state
79%
American or Israeli supervision of elections
72%
DMZ or buffer zone in Gaza
70%
UN Peacekeeping Mission (must last longer than 365 days)
69%
Nonzero land swap from Israel
68%
Gaza under the control of the Palestinian Authority
66%
Equivalent of >1.0% of WB land area swapped from Israel
58%
Palestinian Authority explicitly not involved in the future state
57%
The final peace deal and creation of the Palestinian state is are done only after the PA is revitalized and election are done.
57%
Equivalent of >3.0% of WB land area swapped from Israel
56%
Some parts of Jerusalem under international or shared control (excluding Al-Aqsa which already is)
51%
International involvement in running the Palestinian state
50%
Equivalent of >2.0% of WB land area swapped from Israel
40%
5+ Muslim states agree to acknowledge Israel if they accept
36%
Gaza under the control of a standalone civilian government separate to the Palestinian Authority
34%
Functionally demilitarized Palestinian state PLUS security guarantee from a state that is not Israel or the United States
24%
Israeli representative in the Palestinian government (not purely consultative)
23%
Dayton Agreement-style Office of the High Representative (in either/both state)
22%
Israeli supervision of print and/or broadcast media
Resolves when the plan is released. I generally will stick more to the spirit than the letter of any of these, so if for example it's not exactly 1:1 territory swaps but is very close to it that's a YES.
International means any third parties, not Israel or Palestine
N/A if a plan does not get publicly released before Biden stops being president. Things that are not mentioned in the plan will resolve NO, even if they might still happen if the plan is executed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
11% chance
Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?
19% chance
Will the United States recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2028?
27% chance
Will there be a two-State solution for Israel and Palestina?
28% chance
What sovereign state will the West Bank first be part of?
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
24% chance