Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Vladimir Putin re-elected in Russia
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resolved Mar 21
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YES

https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.

Matt predicts 90% for this question

Matt's calibration for reference:

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@Shump Can this market be closed already?

Made a version that closes in two weeks so that we can do a Manifold vs. Yglesias competition:

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