Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)
14
59
Ṁ1.1kṀ290
2025
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 70% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Gary Marcus 2024 predictions
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Unemployment rate stays below 4%
39% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold Time Capsule: Positive RGDP growth for each of (Q4 2023 - Q3 2024)
65% chance
Will Q4 ‘23, Q1 ‘24, Q2 ‘24, and Q3 ‘24 each show positive RGDP growth?
61% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation below 3%
74% chance
How much will US GDP grow in Q2 2024?
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation above 2%
74% chance
How much will US real GDP grow in 2024 (advance estimate)?
3
2024 predictions - Matthew Yglesias vs Manifold: No recession in 2024
70% chance
What real GDP growth rate will the U.S.A have in 2024.