Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Alexander Stubb elected President of Finland
Basic
14
Ṁ11k
resolved Feb 12
Resolved
YES

https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.

Matt predicts 70% for this question

Matt's calibration for reference:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5,000 YES

@Shump resolves yes

Made a version that closes in two weeks so that we can do a Manifold vs. Yglesias competition:

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules