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MANIFOLD
Will someone Loot Box their way into this market before 2024?
16
Ṁ290Ṁ3.6k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Loot boxes don't show up as a trades in the market. This market only resolves YES if there is a holder who has never traded in the market, this will be checked using the API.

This market closes at the end of 2023.

UPDATE: loot boxes now show up as a trade in the market.

This Market Resolves YES if there is a loot box trade in the market history.

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Loot boxes are no longer available

predictedYES

@Shump indeed the Loot boxes page is 404. Will leave this open even though it is very doubtful that they will bring it back now that it has ben depreciated, but you never know.

predictedYES

I am making an insightful comment and definitely not hoping that engagement drives lootboxing. The insight is insightful and driven by deep thought, consideration, logic, and reflects a good deal of foresight by other factors involved in this discussion. Despite potentially being the incorrectly foresighted insight (in hindsight), it is still insightful and can speak for itself.

predictedYES

The other market got two lootboxed trades but also had more engagement. Do we know if lootboxes are more common for markets with more trading, or more comments, or some other measure of activity?

predictedYES

@whenhaveiever I suspect this is the case. An intetest vector and higher engagement.

@ShitakiIntaki Fascinating! Here's a comment to potentially make my YES investment have higher value then.

predictedYES

@Heliscone yeah it is funny because the market should suffer time decay but greater engagement over time should have the opposite impact on the market.

predictedYES

@ShitakiIntaki Very true

predictedNO

Updated resolution criteria now that loot box shares show up in the trade history for the market