At Tesla's recent "We Robot" event on 10/10/2024, Elon said Unsupervised FSD was coming to AI4 (aka HW4) vehicles in 2025, but Elon also admits his timelines are uncertain. If you think Unsupervised FSD will never be available on AI4 vehicles, select 2034+.

Unsupervised FSD refers to a version of Tesla's FSD that will allow the driver to not pay attention entirely on public roads, like be asleep or working on something else.

"Availability" is when the first non-tesla employee is able to use it on their own vehicles that aren't owned by Tesla, and it's usage is credibly demonstrated in video.

Although there will be only one YES resolution, this market is presented as multiple choice so that years can resolve NO as they pass. (Too bad Manafold depreciated their numeric market format 😭)