Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin's market dominance falls to 62% or lower at any point before May 31, 2025. Bitcoin dominance is defined as the percentage of Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. The primary source for verification will be CoinMarketCap's Bitcoin Dominance Chart: https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/bitcoin-dominance/. If the dominance does not reach 62% or lower by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

As of May 27, 2025, Bitcoin's dominance stands at approximately 64.4%, according to Newhedge's Bitcoin Live Dashboard. (newhedge.io) This represents a significant increase from previous years; for instance, in April 2025, Bitcoin's dominance was around 63.8%, nearing levels last seen in January 2021. (bitbo.io) The rise in dominance has been attributed to factors such as increased institutional investment and the relative underperformance of altcoins. (coindesk.com)

Considerations

Traders should monitor market trends, including the performance of altcoins and institutional investment patterns, as these factors can influence Bitcoin's dominance. Additionally, macroeconomic events and regulatory developments may impact the cryptocurrency market's dynamics.

• The market resolves YES if the Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) metric touches 62.00% or lower on any day before the deadline.

• The market resolves NO if Bitcoin dominance remains above 62% through the end of May.