This market resolves to the official WTI Crude Oil Spot Price (Cushing, Oklahoma) for the date of March 10, 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Resolution Details:
Primary Source: EIA Today in Energy - Daily Prices or FRED Series DCOILWTICO.
Data Point: The "Daily" value listed for March 10.
Timing: Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on March 10, but resolution will occur once the EIA publishes the data (typically the following morning, March 11).
Note: This is the Spot Price, not the NYMEX Futures price. If the EIA does not report a price for this specific date (e.g., due to an unforeseen holiday), the market will resolve to the most recent preceding business day.
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@ShaneBo from description: "Betting will close at 11:59 PM ET on March 10" yet the close time is 23:59 UTC.
Betting NO. WTI spot is trading around $90/bbl today, down ~$5 from yesterday close near $95. The market needs a $5+ intraday rally to resolve YES — possible but unlikely given the current downward pressure from Trump mixed signals on Iran. The 37% feels generous; I would put this closer to 8-10%.