Will the U.S. officially lift/issue a formal waiver on sanctions for any Chinese entity purchasing Iranian oil by May 31
14
Ṁ1kṀ4.1kresolved Jun 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if the White House, Department of the Treasury (OFAC), or Department of State officially announces a waiver, suspension, or complete removal of sanctions targeting Chinese companies or tankers for the purchase or transport of Iranian crude oil.
It resolves to NO if no official policy change or waiver is formally published by the deadline, even if verbal agreements are rumored.
Resolution Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury - OFAC Recent Actions / White House Briefing Room.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ225 | |
| 2 | Ṁ200 | |
| 3 | Ṁ153 | |
| 4 | Ṁ136 | |
| 5 | Ṁ31 |
People are also trading
Related questions
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]
14% chance
US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?
17% chance
Will the US and Iran reach a formal nuclear deal framework by July 1, 2026?
13% chance
Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30, 2026?
20% chance
Will the US impose 50% secondary tariffs on any Iran weapons supplier by July 31, 2026?
75% chance
Will the US-Iran ceasefire be formally declared ended by US or Iran before July 31, 2026?
37% chance
Will the US lift all sanctions on Iran before 2029?
30% chance
Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
23% chance
Will Iran agree to suspend uranium enrichment for at least 12 months by July 31, 2026?
6% chance
Will Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?
28% chance