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MANIFOLD
Will the price of WTI Crude Oil experience a single-day drop of $7.00 or more before Friday, April 10?
3
Ṁ1kṀ751
Apr 10
25%
chance

  • Definition of "Single-Day Drop": This market resolves to YES if, on any single trading day between Tuesday, April 7, and Friday, April 10, 2026, the difference between the Daily Open and the Daily Close is a decrease of $7.00.00 or greater (e.g., Opens at $112.00 and Closes at $105.00 or lower).

  • Intraday Spikes: Brief intraday dips that recover before the close do not count. The $7.00 drop must be sustained at the official daily close.

  • Resolution Value: * YES: If at least one day meets the $\ge \$7.00$ drop criteria.

    • NO: If no single day records a drop of that magnitude by the end of the trading week.

  • Contract Specification: This market utilizes the NYMEX WTI Crude Oil Front-Month Future (the most active contract).

  • Source for Resolution: The official "Historical Data" tab for WTI Crude on MarketWatch or Bloomberg.

  • Resolution Date: This market will resolve at the close of the NYMEX (approx. 2:30 PM ET) on the first day the drop occurs, or at the close of markets on Friday, April 10, 2026, if no such drop has happened.

Market context
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