Will The Mandalorian and Grogu experience a 60.0% or greater drop in its second weekend at the domestic box office?

Question

This market resolves to YES if the 3-Day (May 29–31) domestic gross represents a drop of 60.0% or more compared to its $81.67M opening weekend (meaning it grosses $32,668,000 or less).

It resolves to NO if the drop is 59.9% or less (meaning it grosses more than $32.66M).

Resolution Source: Box Office Mojo - Weekend Actuals.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 77% chance (7 traders, as of May 29, 2026).

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