Will the February 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) exceed 130,000?
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Ṁ350Ṁ2.4kresolved Mar 6
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This market resolves to YES if the "Employment Situation" report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday, March 6, 2026, shows a change in total non-farm payroll employment of 131,000 or more.
It resolves to NO if the number is 130,000 or fewer.
Context: This is the first major labor report following the end of the 43-day shutdown. Estimates are currently split between a "catch-up" surge and a "recessionary" slump.
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