Will the February 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) exceed 130,000?
2
Ṁ350Ṁ230Mar 6
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if the "Employment Situation" report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday, March 6, 2026, shows a change in total non-farm payroll employment of 131,000 or more.
It resolves to NO if the number is 130,000 or fewer.
Context: This is the first major labor report following the end of the 43-day shutdown. Estimates are currently split between a "catch-up" surge and a "recessionary" slump.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!