Will President Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address exceed 80 minutes in length?
3
Ṁ400Ṁ80Mar 31
58%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if the official White House transcript or major news broadcast (C-SPAN/CNN) confirms the speech duration (from the first word of the address to the final "God Bless America") is 80 minutes and 1 second or longer.
It resolves to NO if the speech is 80 minutes or shorter.
If the speech is canceled or postponed beyond February 28, the market resolves to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump complete 85% or more of Project 2025 by the end of 2026?
6% chance
Will any Democrat create a distraction at the 2026 State of the Union?
64% chance
Will Trump have a Biden Debate Moment at the State of the Union?
16% chance
Will Trump complete 75% or more of Project 2025 by the end of 2026?
46% chance
Will The POTUS Poo at Thee Poodium during 2026 State of Union address?
8% chance
Will there be a State of the Union in Q1 of 2026
96% chance
How long will Trumps state of the Union speech be?
State of the Union Address 2026
Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will President Trump announce a specific new executive order during the SOTU address?
37% chance