Will President Trump announce a specific new executive order during the SOTU address?
6
Ṁ450Ṁ167Feb 25
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if, during the State of the Union address, the President explicitly states he has "just signed" or "is signing tonight" a new Executive Order (excluding a reference to the existing 15% tariff proposal).
It resolves to NO if he mentions existing policies or legislative requests without announcing a new specific order.
Verification will be based on the official White House transcript.
Closes at 10 PM EST on Feb 24, 2026
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump sign more than 5 executive orders in the last week of February 2026?
36% chance
Will President Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address exceed 80 minutes in length?
58% chance
Will President Trump explicitly say “Bitcoin” or “BTC” in the State of the Union tonight?
29% chance
Will Donald Trump issue an executive order from the federal government at any point past February 1 2029?
17% chance
How many executive orders will Trump issue over the course of his second term?
Will President Trump extend the DOGE Executive Order Agenda past the July 4th, 2026 deadline?
8% chance