MANIFOLD
Will President Trump announce a specific new executive order during the SOTU address?
6
Ṁ450Ṁ167
Feb 25
37%
chance
  • This market resolves to YES if, during the State of the Union address, the President explicitly states he has "just signed" or "is signing tonight" a new Executive Order (excluding a reference to the existing 15% tariff proposal).

  • It resolves to NO if he mentions existing policies or legislative requests without announcing a new specific order.

  • Verification will be based on the official White House transcript.

  • Closes at 10 PM EST on Feb 24, 2026

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