MANIFOLD
Will President Trump explicitly say “Bitcoin” or “BTC” in the State of the Union tonight?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ118
Feb 25
17%
chance

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if, during the live State of the Union address (Feb 24, 2026), Trump explicitly says “Bitcoin”, “bitcoin”, or “BTC” (spoken as letters or “bee-tee-see”). Resolves NO if none of those exact terms are said. Primary sources: official video/transcript (White House, C-SPAN, PBS, CNN, etc.).

Background

President Trump signed an executive order on March 6, 2025 to establish a strategic bitcoin reserve, and has stated he wants the United States to become the "crypto capital of the world". In July 2025, Trump signed the GENIUS Act, which allows banks, nonbanks and credit unions to issue their own stablecoins. Trump has been a vocal advocate for cryptocurrency during his second term, in contrast to his earlier skepticism of the asset class.

Considerations

State of the Union addresses typically focus on broad policy priorities and economic messaging. While President Trump has made cryptocurrency a notable part of his administration's agenda, the speech's primary focus is expected to be on economy, affordability, immigration, and midterm election messaging. Bitcoin mentions are not guaranteed despite Trump's pro-crypto stance.

This description was generated by AI.

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