Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026?

Question

Resolves YES if Jay Feely is called as the winner of the AZ-01 Republican Primary by the  the Arizona Secretary of State or other credible reporting from two sources. Resolves NO if Joseph Chaplik or any other candidate wins the primary.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 72% chance (6 traders, as of Jul 2, 2026).

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