This market resolves to the final worldwide box office gross of Zootopia 2 as reported by Box Office Mojo or The Numbers.
Context & Historical Comparisons Zootopia 2 is following up on a massive original hit ($1.02B in 2016) and releasing in a prime holiday window. To understand the potential ceiling and floor, here is how other major animated sequels and recent billion-dollar hits have performed in the last decade:
The "Juggernaut Sequel" Ceiling ($1.45B – $1.7B):
Inside Out 2 (2024): $1.69B (The current high-water mark for animated sequels)
Frozen II (2019): $1.45B (Built significantly on the first film's $1.28B)
The "Strong Successor" Range ($1.2B – $1.4B):
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (2023): $1.36B (Four-quadrant appeal)
Incredibles 2 (2018): $1.24B (Massive anticipation after a long hiatus)
The "Standard Billion" Floor ($1.0B – $1.15B):
Minions (2015): $1.16B
Toy Story 4 (2019): $1.07B
Finding Dory (2016): $1.03B