Would H-2, the House immigration bill, count. I assume the answer is yes

@KevinBurke yes, that or any substantially similar version of it would count

"Nontrivial" is a rather vague word...

@Mana I'm hoping it won't come to a judgement call - if they pass the current senate bill (or a substantially similar house version) that counts, but I don't want some minor technical change like "extend the window for H1B applications by 15 days" to count for this market. If there's a version you're not sure whether it would count feel free to ask.

(I'm not betting on this market myself to avoid bias on this)

@ShakedKoplewitz specifically, anything that's expected to change total visas granted in a given category by at least 5000 per year, or change average decision wait times for a category with over 10k people by at least a month would count.

This needs to be signed into law to count, right

@mattyb yes