Will I have a trustworthyish badge by 2024?
7
Ṁ412Ṁ150
Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ57 +478.9%
New probability
19% +4%
I will also accept a "seal of approval" badge, so long as it's shaped like a seal.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Austinbought Ṁ20 of YES
Shaked gets a ton of credit towards trustworthishness from his excellent writeup of a Manifold game night. Unfortunately, I don't think Shaked has created & resolved enough markets outside of that game night to qualify for a badge at this point in time.
Betting YES though - I think you'll get there!
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