![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FShakedKoplewitz%252F764c9a4903c5.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Who will be the author of my favourite new book in 2024
Mini
3
Ṁ20resolved Feb 23
ResolvedN/A
1D
1W
1M
ALL
53%
Brandon Sanderson
47%
Lee Kuan Yew
The author doesn’t have to be new or even new to me, but the book does (e.g. if I end up reading and loving Great Expectations, this could settle as Dickens, but not if I re-read a Christmas Carol and decide it’s the bee’s knees). No strong feeling there so far, just put a couple of authors who’re currently on my reading list pretty much at random. Feel free to make recommendations.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
Realized I forgot to set this up with addable options. Moved to a fixed market here. https://manifold.markets/ShakedKoplewitz/who-will-be-the-author-of-my-favour-901e399adf98
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the author of my favourite new book in 2024?
Which of these books will I enjoy reading in 2024?
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2024?
Who will author the top-selling book about OpenAI by 2030?
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
59% chance
Which Novel will win a Hugo award in 2024
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
48% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will a publisher release a novel advertised as being AI-generated in the style of very popular dead author, b4 EOY 2024?
40% chance
Will a book by Brandon Sanderson win a Goodreads Choice Award in 2024?
32% chance