This asks whether the next Iranian direct attack on Israel (that happens before market close) will be a multi day attack.

"Multi day" will mean that missiles land outside of a 24 hour window but within a 72 hour window (longer than that would count as separate attacks).

Note that while it has to include a direct Iranian attack to count, other attacks within the window by proxies (such as Hezbollah or Yemen) would still count as extending the window if they're sufficiently intense ("normal" status quo attacks, like Hezbollah launching 40 rockets a day at Israeli villages, would not).

Spiritual sequel to https://manifold.markets/ShakedKoplewitz/if-iranhezbollah-attacks-israel-wil?r=U2hha2VkS29wbGV3aXR6