Will Trump win the Vermont Primary by double digits?
Plus
63
แน36kresolved Mar 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
i.e. >10.00%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@TimothyJohnson5c16 a lot of reasons, but the main one being that haley did very well in nh and VT is a super similar state but with a much more friendly crossover environment (30 points bluer)
Looking into whether I should be betting with or against market creator @SemioticRivalry - I'm not seeing any new polls or news, got any info you'd like to share?
@JamesBakerc884 All I see is that Haley is campaigning in Vermont: https://www.wamc.org/news/2024-03-04/nikki-haley-holds-campaign-rally-in-vermont-in-advance-of-the-states-presidential-primary
@SemioticRivalry has made a number of similar bets across several markets, so maybe he knows something more that we don't.