Will there be >10 deaths in internal conflicts in Russia in 2024?
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21
936
2025
69%
chance

A lone wolf shooting will not count, must be conflict between two different organized groups.

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Six people have been killed in what is reported as prevention of terrorism acts in Ingushetia: https://meduza.io/news/2024/03/03/v-ingushskom-karabulake-vveli-rezhim-kto-vlasti-soobschayut-ob-ubiystve-shesti-boevikov

Would deaths of pro-Navalny protesters in custody count? I think somewhere between 150-400 were arrested

I guess all the suspicious deaths don't count? "Internal conflict" is quite vague.

@marktwse i don't think this satisfies the condition in the description of "between two organized groups"

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