Will RFK Jr. participate in a presidential debate in 2024?
28
78
520
Nov 6
12%
chance

only if he debates one of the major party candidates

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I've made a conditional version of this market, if anyone is interested in forecasting if RFK Jr. will participate in a presidential debate without worrying whether Trump and Biden will:

Does it count if he debates another independent?

@SemioticRivalry Third party? Or only if it involves a Dem/GOP nominee?

@june the latter

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