Will Larry Hogan come within ten points of victory in Maryland's Senate Election?
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22
Ṁ16k
Nov 16
24%
chance

if he wins outright or loses by less than 10, resolves yes

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bought Ṁ10 YES

With ~80% of the votes in, Hogan is behind by seven points:

But the count seems to have stalled since last night.

bought Ṁ3,500 NO

@TimothyJohnson5c16 what's left is super dem I think this still probably goes no

@SemioticRivalry Hmm, I hadn't checked the numbers before, but I guess the rest of the vote only needs to be 60-40 to shift this. I was probably overconfident.

Any idea why they stopped counting?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 a lot of places still suck at counting mail

Subsidized and added to the new dashboard. Primary is tonight!

It's looking very good for Hogan at the moment.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/maryland/hogan-vs-trone

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