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MANIFOLD
Will Larry Hogan come within ten points of victory in Maryland's Senate Election?
26
Ṁ3.2kṀ20k
resolved Nov 19
Resolved
NO

if he wins outright or loses by less than 10, resolves yes

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bought Ṁ250 NO

Prince George's and Baltimore's remaining votes, please win this for me

bought Ṁ2,000 NO

@Robincvgr Looks like it's working!

Latest results, I think Alsobrooks is still on track to win by 10 points.

sold Ṁ215 YES

Some more votes were counted, and Alsobrooks got about 63% of them. If that trend continues, she should win by double digits.

bought Ṁ10 YES

With ~80% of the votes in, Hogan is behind by seven points:

But the count seems to have stalled since last night.

bought Ṁ3,500 NO

@TimothyJohnson5c16 what's left is super dem I think this still probably goes no

@SemioticRivalry Hmm, I hadn't checked the numbers before, but I guess the rest of the vote only needs to be 60-40 to shift this. I was probably overconfident.

Any idea why they stopped counting?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 a lot of places still suck at counting mail

Subsidized and added to the new dashboard. Primary is tonight!

It's looking very good for Hogan at the moment.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/senate/general/2024/maryland/hogan-vs-trone

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