Will I avoid demotion to the Platinum league if I try?
10
closes Sep 30
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ36 +266.4%
New probability
29% +3%
Once I though I would promote to Master. Then I spent half my net worth on what I thought was a safe bet related to the Mario movie. If I try hard, will I be able to avoid demotion to the Platinum League?
This market resolves YES if I stay in the diamond league or promote to Master, NO if I demote to the Platinum League, N/A if I stop using manifold regularly (defined as a week passing where I do <5 bets)
Get Ṁ500 play money
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