What will the minimum Arctic sea ice daily extent be in 2024? | Manifold

What will the minimum Arctic sea ice daily extent be in 2024?

Plus

12

Ṁ11k

resolved Oct 13

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolved

YES

Less than 4.5 million km^2

Resolved

YES

Less than 5 million km^2

Resolved

YES

Less than 4.75 million km^2

Resolved

YES

Less than 4.25 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 4.0 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 3.75 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 3.5 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 3.25 million km^2

Market settles based on the minimum daily Arctic sea ice extent as determined by the National Snow and Ice Data Center in the data as it appears here:

https://masie_web.apps.nsidc.org/pub/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/data/N_seaice_extent_daily_v3.0.csv

The minimum is usually reached in mid-September. The market will be settled ASAP after the NSIDC makes the call.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Global Warming

#Climate change

#climate-shipping

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Heard from NSIDC today. They are working to get the missing data in but not sure if they can. I'll settle this once they've done all they can. Extremely unlikely it got under 4.

bought Ṁ100 Less than 4.0 millio... YES

nevermind

Still possible

Related questions

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?

When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?

Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)

Will the north pole be ice free by 2030?

Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?

When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?

What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2024?

Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?

Will the ice caps be bigger in July 2024 than July 2023?

Related questions

(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?

Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?

Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?

When will the Antarctic sea ice reach nearly zero before 2100?

When will the Antarctic sea ice extent fall below 1 million square kilometers for the first time?

What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2024?

Minimum Antarctic sea ice extent this century? (in square kilometers)

Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?

Will the north pole be ice free by 2030?

Will the ice caps be bigger in July 2024 than July 2023?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules