What will the minimum Arctic sea ice daily extent be in 2024? | Manifold

What will the minimum Arctic sea ice daily extent be in 2024?

Plus

12

Ṁ11k

resolved Oct 13

Resolved

YES

Less than 4.5 million km^2

Resolved

YES

Less than 5 million km^2

Resolved

YES

Less than 4.75 million km^2

Resolved

YES

Less than 4.25 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 4.0 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 3.75 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 3.5 million km^2

Resolved

NO

Less than 3.25 million km^2

Market settles based on the minimum daily Arctic sea ice extent as determined by the National Snow and Ice Data Center in the data as it appears here:

https://masie_web.apps.nsidc.org/pub/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/data/N_seaice_extent_daily_v3.0.csv

The minimum is usually reached in mid-September. The market will be settled ASAP after the NSIDC makes the call.

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#Global Warming

#Climate change

#climate-shipping

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Heard from NSIDC today. They are working to get the missing data in but not sure if they can. I'll settle this once they've done all they can. Extremely unlikely it got under 4.

bought Ṁ100 Less than 4.0 millio... YES

nevermind

Still possible

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