Will Scott Alexander endorse Ron DeSantis (for president) in 2024?
32
91
650
Dec 31
1.9%
chance

Only publicly posted endorsements count (e.g. to ACX).

To be clear, this resolves YES if any endorsement is made in the primary or in the general election. Any presidential endorsement (as long as it's not private, or an obvious joke, or otherwise opposed to the obvious spirit of this market) for the 2024 election results in a YES.

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bought Ṁ200 NO

Can you confirm that nothing happened that qualified as a primary endorsement?

sold Ṁ800 of NO

what if he endorses him for the primary but doesn't endorse in the general?

@Tripping Updated the description, copying a resolution criterion I used in a related market:

"""

To be clear, this resolves YES if any endorsement is made in the primary or in the general election. Any presidential endorsement (as long as it's not private, or an obvious joke, or otherwise opposed to the obvious spirit of this market) for the 2024 election results in a YES.

"""

This is also the most literal-minded reading of the title.